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Will tighter monetary policy damage the global economy?

Guest Post by Ned Davis Research One of the biggest macro stories of this yearhas been the persistence of inflation, whichwas initially caused by COVID-related factors,and was later intensified by the Russia/Ukraine war. As a result, central banks arenow…

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Global Growth Rebounds, Inflation Risks Rising

Guest Post by Ned Davis Research Global economic growth rebounded in February, after reaching an 18-month low in the prior month, as the negative impact from the Omicron variant faded. The global composite (manufacturing and services) PMI (Purchasing Manager’s…

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U.S. – Inflation Peaking, but Watching the Fed

Guest Post by Ned Davis Research Inflation peaking? Our U.S. Inflation Timing Model has peaked, suggesting slower inflation in 2022. Easing supply chain issues and base effects also point to inflation moderating in the coming months. But improvement could…

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Yearend Growth Softens

Guest Post by Ned Davis Research The global economic expansion softened somewhat at the end of 2021, according to the latest PMIs, as the COVID pandemic continues to present challenges to the outlook. The global composite (services and manufacturing)…